Modelling World 2020 goes VIRTUAL: 16th October

Modelling World is the UK & Europe's best attended, longest running and biggest annual exhibition and conference for transport and pedestrian modelling professionals, advisory and strategic modellers, data scientists and transport economists. This must-attend annual fixture is the highlight of the modeller's calendar.

We are excited to announce that this year's Modelling World will be hosted virtually on Hopin.

There will be no need to make any travel arrangements and all existing bookings are now tranferred to the virtual conference.

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This year's virtual event will include:

Keynote plenary sessions
Multi stream programme, including breakout sessions, workshops, user group sessions and lots more*
full exhibition trade hall with virtually manned booths and opportunities to meet with suppliers face-to-face with on-the-fly virtual meeting spaces
Programmed networking, B2B meetings and speed dating events
The Master of Modelling Awards 2020 - awarding the best young professionals, lifetime achievement and masters of data and visualisation

View Programme

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			EXHIBITION
	CONFERENCE

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	Modelling World 2020 Programme

09.25	The exhibition opens
09.30-11.00	Stage 1
	Opening plenary: Question Time Panel Beyond the commute: re-thinking travel demand – overcoming gender bias in current data and models Chaired by: Aruna Sivakumar, Executive Director, Urban Systems Lab, Imperial College London Sherin Francis, Transport planner, Jacobs Nila Sari, Principal Transport Modeller, Department for Transport Claire Cheriyan, Strategic Analysis Manager, Transport for London Susanna Kerry, Lead Transport Modeller, Transport for London
11.00-11.30	Breakout sessions: expert round-table discussions
	Transport modelling: what are the key issues for the future? Presentation and attendee polling sessions Led by: Michael Oliver, Technical Director, PTV Group	A debate on the appraisal of transport projects and programmes: do benefits rely too heavily on traditional travel time savings? Facilitated by: Tom van Vuren, Chairman, Modelling World Speakers include: David Metz, Visiting Professor, Centre for Transport Studies, University College London Tom Worsley, Visiting Fellow, Institute for Transport Studies, University of Leeds	Predicting the future is now more complicated than ever Why is predicting the future so complicated? What are/should we be doing to improve forecasting? Discussion and case studies led by: Facilitator: Katie Hall, SYSTRA Nick Benbow, Sector Director, International, SYSTRA Richard Bradley, Director, ANSA Digital Limited Toby Cuthbertson, Consultant, SYSTRA
11.30-13.00	Stage 1	Stage 2	Conference Stage 3
	Innovation in modelling Chair: Luis Willumsen, Director, Kineo Mobility Analytics An update on the Oxfordshire Mobility Model Llewelyn Morgan, Head of Innovation, Oxfordshire County Council Low cost online modelling with stakeholders John Swanson and Fiona Jenkins, Associates, Steer ‘What-if’ tools: fast, added-value for transport models Alex Dawn, Transport Modelling Consultant, City Science An Agent-Based demand model for the West Midlands David Aspital, PTV Group; James Fox, RAND Europe; and Tim Pollard, Mott MacDonald Activity-based modelling to appraise shared mobility services Dr Patrizia Franco, Principal Technologist in Demand Modelling, Connected Places Catapult and Nila Sari, Principal Transport Modeller, Department for Transport	Climate Change is still happening: can Net Zero carbon be achieved? Discussion led by Katie Hall, SYSTRA, with: Sarah Murdoch, Environmental Consultant, SYSTRA Celine Cluzel, Director, Element Energy Duncan Irons, Market Director, SYSTRA	EV Modelling workshop Representing EVs in our models to understand infrastructure requirements and environmental benefits Discussion and case studies led by Laurence Chittock, Associate Transport Planner, PTV Group Integrating transport and electricity models to help deliver EV infrastructure, Esther Dudek, Senior Consultant, EA Technology Identifying optimal locations of on-route charging points: a Cambridgeshire case study, Monika Crouse, Wood Life cycle analysis of road transport by vehicle type and fuel, Sofia Amaral, Senior Consultant, Ricardo Energy & Environment
12.20-13.00		The future for public transport in an ever-changing world Discussion led by Katie Hall, SYSTRA, with: Neill Birch, Projects Director, SYSTRA Chris Pownall, Business Director, SYSTRA
12.30-13.30	Breakout sessions: expert round-table discussions
	Superforecasting, a practical session Led by: Warren Hatch, CEO, Good Judgment At the heart of super-forecasting lies crowd-sourcing. Superforecaster Warren Hatch refers to 'being willing to change your mind when presented with new information, challenging group-think, and an ability to break down problems into specific questions'. Being comfortable with numbers helps. According to Warren, improving forecasts is 50% noise reduction, 25% bias removal and 25% improved information. Do we still need experts? Join us for a superforecasting demo, followed by a Q & A session at 15.00
13.00-13.30	Breakout sessions: expert round-table discussions
	The 4-stage model at a crossroads: What's next? Discussion led by Tom van Vuren, Chairman, Modelling World, with: Luis Willumsen, Director, Kineo Mobility Analytics Robin North, CEO, Immense Simulations	Data collection: what can be achieved? Followed by questions and discussion Led by: Paul O’Neill, Managing Director, Intelligent Data Crispin Pearce, Head of Commercial Operations, Intelligent Data	Data is not a problem: sustainable model development Magda Smith, Senior Data Analyst, and Christopher Storey, Senior Data Analyst, Transport for the North The presentation will be followed by a virtual discussion on the advantages, disadvantages and technical practicalities of Sub-national Transport Bodies providing off-the-shelf ‘model building blocks’ and analytical services to Local Transport Authorities. TfN would like to use this opportunity to gather feedback from an expert practitioner audience to help inform its future plans
	Stage 1	Stage 2	Conference Stage 3
13.30-15.00
	Emerging data sources, digitisation and analysis tools Chair: Laurence Oakes-Ash, CEO, City Science Data and the interface between traffic and air quality models Dr Scott Hamilton - Knowledge Leader, Air Quality Modelling, Ricardo Helping transport modellers to automate their traffic data analytics using AI Daniel Štofan, CEO, GoodVision Tools for understanding the climate emergency Emma Young, SYSTRA & Daniel Fisher, Appraisal and Analysis Manager, TfGM Modelling from the data face to the client face: automated data processing for repeatability, quality assurance and communication Rachel Morgan, Transport Planner, Atkins	Future models Chair: Robin Cambery, Chief Transport Modeller and Head of Modelling and Appraisal Methods, Transport Appraisal and Strategic Modelling, Department for Transport Opening up the National Transport Model Malcolm Jay, Principal Transport Modeller, Department for Transport and Tatiana Kousoulidou, Senior Transport Modeller, Department for Transport Intelligent use of transport models Philip Sumner, Transport Modeller, Department for Transport National Trip End Model Discovery update Roger Witte, Senior Transport Modeller, Department for Transport Uncertainty Toolkit Richard Harrap, Economic Advisor, Department for Transport Evolving road traffic forecasts Adam Jones, Strategic Forecasting Lead, Operational Research Analyst, Transport Appraisal and Strategic Modelling, Department for Transport
15.00-15.30	Breakout sessions: expert round-table discussions
	Diversity, skills, training and future modellers Discussion led by Tom van Vuren, Chairman, Modelling World, with: Zaira Caicedo-Murillo, Senior Transport Consultant, Jacobs Aamir Shaikh, Transport planner, Arup Lou Mason-Walsh, Transport Modelling Manager, Cambridgeshire County Council	Superforecasting, a Q and A session Led by: Warren Hatch, CEO, Good Judgment At the heart of superforecasting lies crowd-sourcing. Superforecaster Warren Hatch refers to 'being willing to change your mind when presented with new information, challenging group-think, and an ability to break down problems into specific questions'. Being comfortable with numbers helps. According to Warren, improving forecasts is 50% noise reduction, 25% bias removal and 25% improved information. Do we still need experts? Ask Warren! A superforecasting Q & A session	SATURN to MicroSIM: Maximising what you can do with your model Speakers: Simon Lusby, Head of Transport Planning, City Science Alex Dawn, Principal Transport Technologist, City Science
15.30-17.00	Stage 1
	Closing plenary: Forecasting – do we need more or less of it? Chair: Tom van Vuren, Chairman, Modelling World Superforecasting Warren Hatch, CEO, Good Judgment Can embracing uncertainty improve the usefulness of our forecasts? Stephen Cragg, Head of Appraisal and Model Development, Transport Scotland Modelling and forecasting: let’s not throw the baby out with the bathwater Charlene Rohr, Co-Director Centre for Futures and Foresight Studies, RAND Europe Prospective and retrospective views of uncertainty in transport forecasting Gregory D. Erhardt, Assistant Professor, Department of Civil Engineering, University of Kentucky
17.00	Event networking