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Speaker Biographies
Prof. Phil Goodwin, University of the South West of England
Phil Goodwin is Professor of Transport Policy at the Centre for Transport and Society, UWE Bristol, and Emeritus Professor at University College London. He was previously Director of the Transport Studies Unit, an ESRC centre of excellence at Oxford University and UCL, a transport planner at the Greater London Council, and non-executive Director of the Port of Dover. He was a member of SACTRA and co-author of its three reports on Transport and the Environment (1991), Induced Traffic (1994), and Transport and the Economy (1999). He has carried out research for the DfT and other agencies on travel demand, transport appraisal, road and public transport projects, road pricing, suppressed traffic, smarter choices, wider economic benefits (and losses) and transport strategy.
Gavin Gaunt, Head of NATA Refresh, Department for Transport
Gavin Gaunt is head of transport modelling at the Department for Transport. Gavin started his career as a researcher at the Transport Research Laboratory before focussing on modelling. He played a key role in establishing the National Transport Model as a tool for policy analysis, led the in-house modelling of road-pricing options at DfT, was a member of the Eddington Transport Study team, and more recently programme managed the NATA Refresh – the Department’s review of their appraisal framework. He is now responsible for the development of transport modelling expertise within the Department and the production and dissemination of guidance via WebTAG.
Dr Denvil Coombe, Principal, The Denvil Coombe Practice
Denvil Coombe is an independent transport planning and modelling consultant with about 40 years’ experience. He has recently undertaken a review of regional and sub-regional models for the Department of Transport to assess their suitability for DaSTS. He continues to advise the Department on modelling and appraisal of congestion TIF schemes and on a variety of major scheme business cases. He has contributed extensively to WebTAG, having directed the creation of the Guidance on the Methodology for Multi-Modal Studies (GOMMMS) from which WebTAG was derived. In recent years, he has assisted with the guidance on variable demand modelling, public transport modelling and road pricing modelling. He is currently drafting guidance on cost damping, realism testing and model adjustment, the modelling of smarter choices and parking policies. He has also reviewed the existing guidance in DMRB on highway assignment modelling for the Department. He was a member of the Standing Advisory Committee on Trunk Road Assessment which produced the 1994 Report on Trunk Roads and the Generation of Traffic and the 1999 Report on Transport and the Economy, He was also the Managing Editor of the Institution of Highways and Transportation’s Guidelines on Developing Urban Transport Strategies.
Prof Andrew Daly, Senior Research Leader, RAND
Andrew Daly is a senior adviser to RAND Europe, a Research Professor at the Institute for Transport Studies in Leeds and the author of the widely-used ALOGIT software. His work has attempted to bridge the gap between research and practice in choice modelling: pioneering the introduction of random utility models, making advanced models operational for large areas so they can be used in practical planning, and improving the credibility of Stated Preference methods. He has published and presented well over 100 papers on these subjects, was Chair of the recent International Choice Modelling Conference, has contributed to a number of books and regularly reviews papers for the leading transport journals. He has directed large-scale modelling projects in The Netherlands, France, Sweden, Denmark, Norway, Australia and the UK and contributed to projects in several other countries. He regularly advises local, national and international government agencies on modelling issues.
Dr Michael Bull, Director, Head of Air Quality, Arup
Michael is the Director of Arup's Environmental Consultancy group in London and the lead air quality specialist in the company. He has worked for over 25 years in the field of environmental science and for the majority of this time has specialised in air quality and environmental assessment particularly in the transport sector. He has been responsible for leading some of the largest air quality assessments undertaken for transport proposals in the UK and overseas including several motorways, the New Tyne Tunnel, the Replacement Forth Crossing, Dublin Port Tunnel, Birmingham Airport and numerous trunk road developments. Most recently, he has lead an air quality assessment to assess road option in Antwerp developing an air quality model for the city and surrounding areas. Throughout his career his main interest has been the application of modelling tools for air quality assessment and he has used extensively all the commonly applied dispersion models such as ADMS-Roads and Caline4 and developed a range of software to assess specific situations such as road tunnels and network emissions. He has worked on several research projects for the UK Government and the EU including leading the six year Traffic Management and Air Quality (TRAMAQ) project for the DfT and the ESTEEM project for the EU. He is the co-author of several guidance documents relating to planning and air quality including the RTPI, NSCA and the Association of London Government guidance. He is a founder member, and Fellow, of the Institute of Air Quality Management and sits on their council as membership secretary.
Tom Worsley, Divisional Manager, Department for Transport
Tom is a senior economist in the Department for Transport who manages the team responsible for developing the integrated strategic model of the rail sector. This model provided the evidence base to underpin the High Level Output Specification of the outputs that the Secretary of State is buying from the rail industry during the period 2009-14. His team is also responsible for providing advice for rail scheme promoters, including Network Rail, the infrastructure owner, and the franchised train operators, on estimating the value for money of rail projects and for ensuring compatibility between rail and other modes in the application of economic appraisal methods. Tom was responsible for managing the Standing Advisory Committee on Trunk Road Assessment’s work and their 1999 report on Transport and the Economy and helped develop their recommendations into practical appraisal and modelling advice. He is now responsible for incorporating rail schemes into the recently published guidance for consultation on the wider impacts of transport schemes.
Tom van Vuren, Divisional Director, Mott MacDonald
Tom van Vuren has been involved in transport planning since the mid-eighties, first in the Netherlands and then in the UK and wider afield. Having worked both in academia and in consultancy, he specialises in bridging the gap between what is theoretically desirable and practically feasible. Tom operates mainly in transport modelling and forecasting, for an international client base. His work has contributed to a greater understanding of issues such as travel time variability, model convergence, peak spreading, and the quantification of wider economic benefits, noise impacts and social exclusion.
Since 2001 Tom has been in charge of the development and application of the PRISM West Midlands model. This tiered system, developed in collaboration with Rand Europe, is one of the most advanced and extensive modelling toolkits in the country. Since its inception PRISM has both responded to, and contributed to evolving best practice modelling guidance in WebTAG and elsewhere.
Recently Tom has carried out Peer Reviews of multi-modal models in e.g. Dubai, Thailand and Abu Dhabi, and has applied UK best practice concepts in an international environment. He is a Visiting Professor at the Institute for Transport Studies of the University of Leeds and Chairman of the Association for European Transport.
Clare Lindsay, Technical Director, WSP
Clare Lindsay is a Technical Director in WSP’s Cambridge-based Policy & Research team. She has worked in transport planning for almost twenty years, focusing primarily on transport demand modelling and integrated land use and transport modelling. She played a major role in updating the National Trip End Model to be multi-modal rather than car-based and, more recently, has led the rebasing of TEMPRO forecasts using revised planning data.
Since 2001 Clare has been involved in developing the National Transport Model for the Department of Transport, leading on the implementation of key components and advising on the use of the model by the DfT and the integration of new features.
Clare has long been at the cutting edge of strategic modelling. She was part of the ME&P team which developed and applied the APRIL model for road pricing in London, incorporating tours and complex time-of-day choice modelling. Clare later led the WSP Policy & Research inputs to multi-modal studies of the Cambridge to Huntingdon and Tyneside areas. She is currently leading integrated land use and transport modelling for Cambridgeshire County Council’s TIF activities and directing work on the PTOLEMY model for the East Midlands authorities.
Dr Ian Williams, WSP
Ian Williams has more than thirty-five years research, academic and consultancy experience in the UK and many other countries around the world. Currently a Senior Technical Director with WSP in Cambridge, Ian’s principal interests are in integrated land-use/transport planning, freight modelling and development of complementary quantitative tools.
Ian directed the creation of and designed the methodology for many components of the National Transport Model for the UK Department for Transport, plus various other national and regional freight and passenger models across Asia, the Americas and Europe. He directed the development of the first comprehensive model of freight and passenger travel covering all of Europe (the SCENES model) which has been widely used in the assessment of European transport policy measures.
Ian was responsible for the design and specification of the MEPLAN (general land-use and transport planning) and MENTOR (UK land-use planning) software packages that are marketed by WSP and used around the world.
Gerard Whelan, Divisional Director, MVA
Dr Gerard Whelan leads MVA Consultancy's transport policy, transport planning and social market research activities in London and for national clients based in London. Gerard is an economist and transport planner by profession and his work covers road, rail and air sectors with a focus on competition and consumer choice. He advises on demand modelling, policy appraisal and economic regulation, and has published widely in peer reviewed journals, books, and international conference proceedings.
Steve Lowe, MVA
Steve Lowe is an economist of over 30 years’ standing, with powerful skills in statistical analysis and mathematical modelling techniques, complemented by strong project management and reporting capabilities. His experience covers a wide spectrum of transport forecasting and appraisal for both public and commercial sectors, as well as a large body of fundamental transport planning research.
This experience includes demand forecasting and appraisal for local and high-speed rail projects world-wide, using a range of modelling approaches. Steve has recently helped to devise a method for integrating direct-demand and multi-mode methods for the London Transportation Studies (LTS) model.
Steve has been instrumental in designing, implementing and applying several models for forecasting environmental-policy response in the aviation sector, with the Dutch government, the US FAA, ICAO and the UK’s Committee on Climate Change as clients.
Steve’s expertise also covers rail and air operational costing, the willingness-to-pay valuation of time savings and ‘softer’ attributes of transport modes, travel survey and data specification and analysis, car ownership modelling, road accident analysis, and scheme appraisal under uncertainty. Steve’s skills have also proved to be transferable to non-transport contexts.
Andrew Potter, Mouchel
Worked for 7 years in Epsom and abroad with WS Atkins undertaking transport modelling using standard operational and highway assignment tools and gaining a grounding in economic analysis. With Royal Mail for six years managing and designing network and bespoke operational solutions such as the recirculation of London's mail through Stansted Airport as well as providing analytical support for business cases and efficiency changes. Joined Mouchel in 2002. Has worked on a number of modelling commissions including determination of route viability for South Essex Rapid Transit, review of Stansted surface access forecasts, parking modelling, CIF bid applications and land use transport interaction modelling in support of the DfT study into capacity at Dartford. Currently the Divisional Director at Mouchel’s Chelmsford office.
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